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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 45.4% 54.6% +1.0 (30.0 off)
Pythagorean 12.4% 87.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +31 (76-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pritchard 31 4-11 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 1 5 8 -1 -
N. Williams 30 5-11 0-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 1 12 7 -
V. Jones III 27 4-10 1-2 1-2 4 3 0 1 6 10 2 -
D. Moore 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
M. Story 22 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 7 5 -
K. Taber 21 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
M. Roth 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Finkelmeier 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Lewis 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Barnett 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Jobe 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Gambles 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Dumes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Davis 27 4-7 0-0 4-4 8 1 2 1 1 12 16 -
T. Meacham 26 7-10 7-9 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 21 18 -
C. Frazier 22 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 3 0 0 3 3 2 -
D. McCamey 21 5-8 2-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 12 10 -
A. Legion 18 1-6 1-5 2-4 1 0 2 0 2 5 0 -
M. Tisdale 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 4 0 2 6 -
D. Keller 16 4-6 3-4 4-4 1 0 1 2 0 15 13 -
C. Brock 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 -
R. Semrau 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
J. Jordan 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 2 4 -
B. Cole 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
C.J. Jackson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
B. Chisholm 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter