Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +11 (87-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Long | 34 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| A. Vereen | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Haynes | 33 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | - |
| R. Guignard | 29 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Moffitt | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Parker | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| D. Gentry II | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J.D. Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Awange | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Reed III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Benson | 29 | 6-15 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 5 | - |
| B. Bush | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 28 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| E. Bidias a Moute | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| J. Rybak | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Johnson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. White | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Gough | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Bowman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Moseley | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Sloan | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter