Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.