Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -3 (52-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.