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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 41.1% 58.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% - ✗
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 ✗ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% - ✗

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -3 (68-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Graham 42 4-9 0-3 3-6 5 8 5 0 6 11 14 -
C.J. Webster 42 9-21 0-0 5-6 11 6 0 0 1 23 18 -
C. Oakes 38 6-10 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 2 2 14 16 -
R. Owens 32 5-15 2-8 1-1 4 0 1 0 2 13 1 -
M. Peterson 26 1-5 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Williams 20 1-4 0-2 2-4 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
J. Williams 20 1-4 0-2 2-4 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
D. Wright 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
O. Caballero 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Thomas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
L. Olivier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. George 41 8-13 1-5 1-3 6 3 3 2 3 18 16 -
D. O'Neil 41 8-16 4-10 2-6 9 7 0 1 5 22 18 -
S. Seay 32 4-9 0-2 1-1 6 3 1 2 6 9 6 -
B. Webster 31 3-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 2 1 6 9 -
M. Ladd 30 2-6 1-4 2-4 1 1 2 0 0 7 5 -
N. Golubovic 16 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
B. Seals 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 0 3 -
B. Sperling 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
B. Cartwright 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
M. Green 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter