Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.