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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model UAB Blazers Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 โœ“ (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Cougars +19 (75-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UAB Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Vaden 37 4-13 1-8 1-2 4 1 1 2 3 10 2 -
L. Kinnard 36 3-13 0-3 4-5 12 2 0 0 0 10 11 -
A. Johnson 31 2-5 0-2 3-4 1 2 1 0 3 7 3 -
P. Delaney III 31 3-9 0-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 1 8 1 -
C. Toney 25 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
H. Crawford 22 5-5 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 13 7 -
C. Moore 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Jones 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Davis Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Calhoun 39 4-8 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
K. Lewis 38 5-12 2-5 7-9 5 2 1 0 1 19 14 -
M. Cousin 32 6-9 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 2 2 12 15 -
A. Coleman 31 11-20 1-1 2-5 6 1 1 0 4 25 9 -
D. Wade 25 2-9 0-2 2-2 5 2 3 0 0 6 7 -
D. Williams 24 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
N. Mosley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Coleman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter