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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Buffalo Bulls Bowling Green Falcons Spread Result
Elo 28.7% 71.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (5.1 off)

Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +4 (86-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Gamble 32 6-14 0-1 4-5 9 6 1 0 1 16 17 -
R. Pierce 32 7-18 2-5 4-5 5 4 0 0 2 20 9 -
C. Betts 31 5-11 4-6 3-5 6 0 1 2 1 17 14 -
A. Robinson 23 5-9 0-3 0-1 5 4 2 1 1 10 12 -
M. Watt 16 1-1 0-0 1-3 0 0 1 1 0 3 4 -
J. Boyer 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
V. Fedotov 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
M. Boudreau 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Alston 9 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
S. Smiley 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Robinson 7 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Laleye 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
B. Mulkey 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clements 32 2-5 1-2 1-2 3 4 0 0 1 6 7 -
J. Jakubowski 31 4-6 0-0 6-6 4 5 2 0 1 14 18 -
M. Larson 30 1-1 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 2 1 4 7 -
C. Knight 29 9-14 2-2 2-3 5 4 0 0 2 22 15 -
N. Miller 27 5-12 1-2 2-4 7 3 1 0 3 13 9 -
B. Moten 24 8-14 3-6 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 20 12 -
O. Polk 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 6 -
E. Marschall 9 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
S. Thomas 4 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter