Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +25 (78-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 33 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Holland | 32 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| A. Johnson | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Atkins | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Henke | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Parker | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Schafer | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Stewart | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Noonan | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Brown | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Provost | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. McLain | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Merriex | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Danridge | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| P. McDonald | 28 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| R. Martinez | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Wills | 25 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| C. Toppert | 18 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Faris | 18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Gary | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| W. Brown | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| N. Garth | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Johansen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter