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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% -
Bradley-Terry 76.2% 23.8% -
Margin 76.7% 23.3% -6.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 74.2% 25.8% -
Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Log Adjusted 85.4% 14.6% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -1 (62-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 35 2-9 0-3 6-9 11 4 2 0 3 10 15 -
A. Pusar 34 8-11 2-4 1-1 3 3 1 0 5 19 10 -
O. McNally 29 3-6 0-1 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 10 7 -
P. Boehm 27 2-5 1-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 7 5 -
K. Wright 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
M. Kenyi 20 1-5 0-1 3-4 3 0 2 0 2 5 3 -
D. Miller 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Housman 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. McGeary 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 36 4-11 0-0 1-1 8 6 1 1 1 9 13 -
J. Trotter 32 3-7 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 8 0 -
R. Dixon 21 2-5 0-0 1-2 0 2 3 0 3 5 2 -
D. Rufful 20 3-7 1-3 2-4 2 5 5 0 3 9 11 -
R. Pride 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
E. Fitzgerald 16 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 7 4 -
M. Sanders 14 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 1 0 3 4 -
K. Graeber 12 0-0 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 1 1 0 5 -
D. Biber 12 4-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
C. Weeden 11 3-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
J. Riddle 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Crecco 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter