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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% -
Bradley-Terry 18.7% 81.3% -
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 (5.9 off)

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +17 (80-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Flaggs 28 2-5 1-3 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
J. Eller 27 2-10 0-0 6-8 8 0 0 0 2 10 6 -
L. Leath 27 5-11 2-5 6-6 2 0 0 0 1 18 8 -
R. Adams 27 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 6 0 -
M. Edwards 21 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 8 7 -
M. Marcial 20 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
J. Stigall 19 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Thomas 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
J. Malloy 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
M. Selling 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 34 8-14 0-1 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 18 9 -
J. McGillis 24 3-3 2-2 5-6 3 1 2 0 2 13 14 -
M. Taylor 23 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
J. Hasquet 23 4-10 3-7 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 11 7 -
B. Qvale 23 2-7 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 1 2 8 11 -
D. Selvig 18 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 4 3 2 2 2 11 -
R. Staudacher 18 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 3 -
S. Stockton 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 0 3 -
K. Sharp 15 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
V. Banny 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
T. Hurley 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter