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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 0.3% 99.7% -
Bradley-Terry 1.5% 98.5% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +71.5 (58.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Aldrich 36 4-9 0-0 6-8 11 0 0 3 1 14 18 -
S. Collins 36 6-14 2-8 11-14 3 8 2 0 8 25 16 -
B. Morningstar 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 5 8 -
T. Releford 21 0-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Reed 20 4-8 2-6 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 10 4 -
T. Taylor 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
M. Morris 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
M. Morris Sr. 8 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Little 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Q. Thomas 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Kleinmann 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Teahan 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Appleton 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 29 5-11 3-4 9-10 5 1 0 0 1 22 16 -
T. Walton 29 5-8 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 11 7 -
R. Morgan 27 3-8 0-1 7-11 8 1 1 0 3 13 12 -
G. Suton 22 2-8 0-1 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
C. Allen 22 1-6 1-5 3-4 2 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
D. Roe 17 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
I. Ibok 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 2 2 0 3 -
D. Summers 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
K. Lucious 11 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 5 5 -
M. Gray 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Green 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
I. Dahlman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Crandell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Herzog 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Kebler 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Thornton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter