🐻⬇️🏀

@
2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 84.8% 15.2% -
Bradley-Terry 68.9% 31.1% -
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 (18.2 off)
Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 28 4-6 2-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 10 8 -
C. Wright 28 6-11 1-1 0-0 9 0 3 1 3 13 12 -
C. Little 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
L. Warren 24 1-5 0-0 3-4 1 5 2 0 2 5 6 -
R. Lowery 17 3-11 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 6 0 -
P. Williams 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
K. Huelsman 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
C. Johnson 13 2-4 1-1 1-2 3 0 2 0 0 6 7 -
L. Fabrizius 12 2-8 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
M. Perry 10 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 5 4 -
D. Searcy 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
S. Thomas 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gurley 36 6-13 4-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 16 6 -
R. Harris 32 5-8 3-5 10-13 4 2 1 0 4 23 18 -
T. Gaffney 31 6-8 0-1 5-6 7 1 1 7 1 17 24 -
C. Lowe 29 4-5 0-0 7-8 2 6 0 0 3 15 15 -
L. Bonner 22 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 0 1 -
T. Lynch 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 4 5 -
D. Gibbs 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 0 6 -
G. Correia 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Glass 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Mongo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter