Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 28 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Wright | 28 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Warren | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Lowery | 17 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| P. Williams | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Johnson | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 12 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Perry | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Searcy | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Thomas | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gurley | 36 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| R. Harris | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 10-13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| T. Gaffney | 31 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| C. Lowe | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| L. Bonner | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Lynch | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Gibbs | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| G. Correia | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Glass | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Mongo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter