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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 62.8% 37.2% -
Efficiency 72.0% 28.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% -
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ely 38 10-19 2-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 22 11 -
N. Garner 37 4-9 0-0 2-3 9 3 2 0 4 10 11 -
J. Holsinger 36 4-12 2-9 6-7 2 2 2 0 4 16 6 -
K. Williams 27 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 4 9 -
K. Lacey 25 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 6 7 -
J. Haarsma 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
D. Holmes 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
P. van Tongeren 7 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Hopf 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 36 2-6 2-3 2-2 1 7 5 0 2 8 13 -
K. Dillard 34 5-11 1-4 2-3 2 5 2 0 3 13 8 -
T. Boyle 30 4-5 0-0 6-6 10 1 0 0 2 14 18 -
R. Hare 26 2-6 2-3 3-4 5 1 0 0 3 9 6 -
W. Clemmons 21 4-8 0-2 1-1 5 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
J. Bocot 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
C. Fay 17 1-3 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Booker 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Evans 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 -

* = starter