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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 54.8% 45.2% -
Bradley-Terry 78.6% 21.4% -
Margin 83.3% 16.7% -8.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.2% 39.8% -
Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett 27 4-13 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 4 12 -3 -
J. Carter 26 3-4 1-1 2-4 3 4 0 0 1 9 11 -
C. Witter 24 5-9 2-5 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 14 4 -
J. Dotzler 22 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
K. Korver 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
K. Lawson Jr. 21 4-4 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 2 1 10 16 -
A. Young 21 3-5 2-2 5-6 1 2 2 0 1 13 12 -
C. Millard 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
K. Walker II 13 1-4 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 2 2 6 9 -
C. Harriman 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 39 5-10 3-5 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 15 6 -
E. McCain 28 5-10 0-1 2-5 4 6 1 0 2 12 11 -
C. Roberts 27 1-8 0-3 1-2 9 0 3 0 2 3 5 -
D. Dunson 25 3-9 2-4 8-9 4 1 0 0 1 16 11 -
T. Wilson 24 6-10 1-3 2-4 5 0 1 1 2 15 10 -
S. Singh 23 0-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
D. Collins 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
T. Brown 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Norris 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter