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Duke Blue Devils 66
@
Florida State Seminoles 58
2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 92.3% 7.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% - ✓
Margin 61.9% 38.1% -2.7 ✓ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 63.9% 36.1% - ✓
Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 76.3% 23.7% - ✓

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -8 (58-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 38 1-7 0-2 7-11 2 3 1 0 3 9 5 -
G. Henderson 34 9-14 3-4 4-6 5 0 3 0 1 25 18 -
K. Singler 34 5-10 2-4 3-6 5 0 0 1 3 15 8 -
N. Smith 29 3-6 0-1 6-6 4 1 2 0 7 12 6 -
L. Thomas 23 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
D. McClure 15 0-0 0-0 1-4 6 1 0 1 2 1 7 -
B. Zoubek 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 2 5 -
E. Williams 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 -
G. Paulus 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 38 7-23 2-6 2-2 4 0 2 0 5 18 -4 -
C. Singleton 34 3-8 0-3 0-2 3 0 2 1 2 6 2 -
D. Kitchen 31 6-15 1-4 3-4 5 2 5 0 1 16 12 -
R. Reid 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
U. Echefu 21 2-4 0-1 6-6 6 0 0 0 2 10 10 -
S. Alabi 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
J. DeMercy 15 1-8 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 0 -
D. Dulkys 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 0 6 -
L. Loucks 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
X. Gibson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Hoff 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter