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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 83.2% 16.8% -
Bradley-Terry 62.0% 38.0% -
Margin 66.5% 33.5% -3.8 (22.2 off)
Pythagorean 77.5% 22.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Log Adjusted 94.2% 5.8% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams -26 (60-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 31 6-12 2-6 1-1 3 4 2 0 2 15 10 -
L. Cummard 23 8-10 2-2 0-0 8 2 0 1 2 18 17 -
L. Morgan Jr. 23 5-8 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 11 8 -
C. Miles 21 2-3 0-0 2-3 3 2 2 2 2 6 10 -
J. Emery 20 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 3 2 1 1 8 11 -
C. Abouo 20 3-5 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
J. Tavernari 17 3-9 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 7 3 -
G. MacGregor 14 4-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 8 7 -
N. Hartsock 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
A. Rose 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Anderson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
M. Pinegar 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Gardner 26 2-7 0-2 2-3 0 0 1 0 1 6 -1 -
M. Walker 26 3-9 1-3 5-5 2 0 0 0 5 12 0 -
A. McFarland 25 1-7 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
A. Ogide 23 6-13 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 4 12 4 -
T. Franklin 20 2-4 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 4 0 -
J. Carr 19 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 2 3 0 -
A. Nigon 18 0-4 0-3 1-2 3 0 1 1 1 1 1 -
M. Bocar Ba 17 1-2 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 1 1 4 8 -
J. Simmons 8 1-2 0-0 6-8 1 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
A. Dunn 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
H. Perry 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
M. Annese 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 5 5 -
M. Lebsack 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
F. Clayman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter