Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | -6.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -17 (63-80). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hunter | 35 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K. Bland | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| P. Rembert | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Eric Wise | 24 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| B. Lauer | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Strings | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Z. Atkinson | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Folker | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. DeCasas | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Staker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lalehzadeh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Ubah | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaz Thomas | 36 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| L. Keeler | 32 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| T. Shelton | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Anderson | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Hanson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Lewis | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Henning | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Justin Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Darling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter