Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -17 (63-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hunter | 35 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K. Bland | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| P. Rembert | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| E. Wise | 24 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| B. Lauer | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Strings | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Z. Atkinson | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Folker | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. DeCasas | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Staker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lalehzadeh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Ubah | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 36 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| L. Keeler | 32 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| T. Shelton | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Anderson | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Hanson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Lewis | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Henning | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Darling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter