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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% -
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -14 (56-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bost 35 6-11 3-6 2-3 5 5 2 0 2 17 16 -
B. Stewart 35 5-8 3-4 4-6 5 2 1 0 1 17 16 -
R. Johnson 34 2-8 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 6 2 -
J. Varnado 30 7-10 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 5 2 16 20 -
P. Turner 24 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
R. Osby 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
E. Bailey 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
R. Benock 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
K. Augustus 4 0-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Beckham 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 1 2 -
C. Gay 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Washington 38 8-15 1-3 1-2 15 0 1 1 6 18 14 -
S. Welsh 37 4-16 0-7 0-1 4 3 0 0 2 8 -3 -
R. Clarke 33 5-10 2-6 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 14 7 -
C. Fortson 33 2-13 0-5 1-4 3 4 0 0 4 5 -5 -
M. Sanchez 18 1-2 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. Monk 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
J. Henry 12 0-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 2 0 0 2 4 -
M. Britt 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Moore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Clark 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter