Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -14 (56-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 35 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| B. Stewart | 35 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| R. Johnson | 34 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Varnado | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| P. Turner | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Osby | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Bailey | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Benock | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Augustus | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Beckham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Gay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Washington | 38 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 14 | - |
| S. Welsh | 37 | 4-16 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| R. Clarke | 33 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Fortson | 33 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Monk | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Henry | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Britt | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter