Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Boone | 36 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 23 | - |
| M. Lance | 32 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| E. McKinney | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| I. Koggu | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| J. Brown | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Morgan | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Bryant | 19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Thomas | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| B. Ayers | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Rohnert | 40 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 25 | - |
| R. Lewis | 39 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Stafford | 30 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Lewis | 29 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Hooper | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Hallam | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Chen | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Coughlin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Peter-Denman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter