Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | +9.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -10 (64-74). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilling | 31 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Casper Ware | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Donovan Morris | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| B. Freeman | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Larry Anderson | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| C. Williams | 21 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Robinson | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Phelps | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Clady | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Fleming | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Plater | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Lazdauskas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kirby | 30 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| S. Willard | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Terrell Smith | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Troyer | 26 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Brown | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Doran | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Neufville | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Ford | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter