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2009-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +8 (52-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Simpson 0 2-12 0-3 1-2 5 4 3 1 5 5 1 -
C. Gordon 0 3-11 0-3 2-2 6 0 0 1 2 8 2 -
J. Smith 0 4-7 0-1 2-2 8 1 1 2 4 10 11 -
L. McCully 0 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 11 6 -
F. Josil 0 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Queen 0 1-5 0-2 2-3 6 2 2 1 3 4 7 -
S. Skrba 0 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
C. Benson 0 3-10 1-5 2-4 4 1 3 1 0 9 8 -
V. Hicks 0 4-10 2-4 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 12 7 -
J. Minnfield 0 4-10 1-5 2-4 4 5 2 0 6 11 6 -

* = starter