Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +19.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jaeschke | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| E. Jaeschke | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Eckhart | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Cartwright | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -1 | - |
| B. Orban | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jefferson | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. DeHaan | 0 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| B. Thomas | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Johnson | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Schiffauer | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter