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2009-01-08

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% -
Bradley-Terry 15.6% 84.4% -
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 (5.3 off)

Actual: Boise State Broncos +20 (84-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Graham 31 5-8 0-2 2-5 4 4 0 1 4 12 9 -
C.J. Webster 30 1-6 0-0 6-6 4 0 0 1 2 8 5 -
R. Owens 28 1-8 1-6 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 5 0 -
D. Thomas 23 2-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
A. Oliver 20 2-9 0-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -6 -
C. Oakes 17 3-4 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 1 0 6 12 -
T. Pierce 17 5-9 4-7 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
D. Wright 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Peterson 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
O. Caballero 7 0-4 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Williams 4 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Williams 4 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
G. Ton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 29 7-9 5-5 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 19 16 -
J. Greene 24 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 2 1 -
M. Sanchez 23 6-11 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
P. Noonan 21 3-7 0-3 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 8 7 -
L. Anderson 20 2-7 1-3 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
I. Okoye 17 4-5 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 2 0 12 15 -
S. Imadiyi 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 0 7 7 -
Z. Moritz 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 2 4 -
A. Garner 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
K. Cunningham 12 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 10 3 -
S. Rouse 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
N. Larsen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter