Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -4 (82-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Streeter | 37 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| J. Akognon | 37 | 9-20 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 10 | - |
| G. Anderson | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| A. Thompson | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| R. Miller | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Lassiter | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| P. Guisse | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Rhymes | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Shamssud-din | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 39 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| T. Shelton | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| L. Keeler | 36 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Lewis | 27 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Anderson | 18 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Hanson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Henning | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter