Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +0.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Porter | 33 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| L. Longmire | 27 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| G. Sim | 26 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Catron | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Odia | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Humphrey | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Dunigan | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Brown | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Crittle | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Wiley | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Fearn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Elorriaga | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Budinger | 36 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Horne | 36 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| N. Wise | 35 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Hill | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Z. Johnson | 19 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Fogg | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Judkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Jacobson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Lavender | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Bagga | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Onobun | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Shumpert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter