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2009-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% +1.1 โœ— (11.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% - โœ“
Margin 60.2% 39.8% -2.3 โœ“ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.8% 27.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -10 (79-89). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Bouldin * 42 11-20 2-6 2-3 4 5 0 0 3 26 12 -
Steven Gray * 41 3-8 3-7 5-8 1 6 1 0 1 14 13 -
Josh Heytvelt * 36 6-7 1-2 2-6 12 0 0 0 2 15 18 -
Jeremy Pargo * 35 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 0 5 6 5 -
Austin Daye * 31 6-13 3-4 5-8 8 0 1 2 1 20 17 -
Micah Downs 15 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 1 4 -
Demetri Goodson 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
Will Foster 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
Ira Brown 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wayne Chism * 38 5-16 0-4 5-6 19 3 0 2 1 15 22 -
Bobby Maze * 36 1-9 0-4 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
Tyler Smith * 36 7-15 0-1 3-4 7 4 1 1 3 17 12 -
Cameron Tatum * 34 8-16 5-10 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 22 7 -
J.P. Prince * 33 4-12 0-2 3-4 5 3 2 0 2 11 7 -
Renaldo Woolridge 12 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Brian Williams 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Scotty Hopson 11 2-2 1-1 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Josh Tabb 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
Emmanuel Negedu 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter