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2009-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (24.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% -
Log Adjusted 30.0% 70.0% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +29 (74-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moore 36 4-11 1-7 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 9 3 -
K. Coble 31 3-10 1-3 2-3 5 2 2 0 0 9 8 -
M. Thompson 29 2-7 0-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
J. Nash 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
L. Mirkovic 13 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Shurna 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
K. Rowley 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
D. Curletti 12 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
J. Ryan 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Williams 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Capocci 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
I. Peljusic 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
N. Fruendt 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
P. Houlihan 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
M. Day 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Landry 33 4-9 0-1 4-4 5 2 1 0 0 12 11 -
T. Hughes 33 3-8 2-4 0-2 4 4 2 0 1 8 9 -
J. Bohannon 32 8-12 3-6 1-2 6 5 0 1 1 20 19 -
J. Krabbenhoft 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 2 6 8 -
J. Leuer 21 6-9 0-2 3-7 8 0 2 3 2 15 17 -
T. Jarmusz 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
K. Gullikson 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. Nankivil 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 0 4 7 -
J. Taylor 6 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
R. Wilson 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
B. Valentyn 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J.P. Gavinski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cain 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
I. Markolf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Smith 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter