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2009-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% -
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 75.9% 24.1% -
Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Log Adjusted 92.0% 8.0% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Novak 42 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 6 4 -
D. Sims 40 7-15 0-4 0-0 7 1 2 2 0 14 11 -
M. Harris 36 4-12 2-8 7-8 11 3 0 2 4 17 17 -
K. Grady 35 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 6 9 -
L. Lucas-Perry 34 5-12 3-9 5-6 3 3 1 0 1 18 12 -
S. Douglass 18 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 3 2 -
C.J. Lee 10 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
Z. Gibson 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Merritt 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Wright 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Jones III 40 6-16 0-4 1-2 7 6 0 2 4 13 8 -
T. Pritchard 40 3-7 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 0 3 9 9 -
N. Williams 38 6-12 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 0 1 14 9 -
D. Dumes 37 6-15 4-9 1-3 2 3 3 0 5 17 5 -
M. Roth 34 3-8 3-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 9 6 -
D. Moore 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 5 -
K. Taber 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
M. Story 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter