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Illinois State Redbirds 52
@
Bradley Braves 56
2009-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% - ✓
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 ✓ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% - ✗
Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 85.4% 14.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 85.4% 14.6% - ✗

Actual: Bradley Braves +4 (56-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Eldridge 38 6-14 5-11 0-0 10 1 1 0 1 17 14 -
L. Phillips 37 2-11 0-5 2-4 2 4 1 0 4 6 -2 -
E. Holloway 29 5-12 0-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 10 4 -
D. Odiakosa 27 6-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 12 6 -
B. Sampay 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 2 6 -
C. Oguchi 16 1-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 -1 -
A. Rubin 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
S. Odzic 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Thornton 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 38 2-10 2-7 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 8 -1 -
T. Wilson 35 4-6 0-0 4-4 7 2 0 1 4 12 12 -
C. Roberts 32 4-7 2-4 2-3 5 2 5 1 5 12 13 -
D. Dunson 22 2-6 2-6 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
E. McCain 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 3 0 2 2 4 -
D. Collins 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 2 2 4 7 -
S. Singh 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 2 1 4 7 -
D. Norris 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
T. Brown 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 5 -

* = starter