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2009-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Log Adjusted 76.2% 23.8% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +6 (67-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 40 3-16 1-8 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 7 -3 -
J. Mason 37 5-13 0-1 0-0 6 7 0 0 2 10 8 -
D. James 37 8-15 0-3 1-1 8 1 1 0 2 17 10 -
G. Johnson 30 5-13 0-0 5-6 12 0 1 0 5 15 10 -
D. Pittman 20 3-7 0-0 4-5 9 1 1 3 2 10 15 -
V. Ward 19 0-4 0-2 2-4 3 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
D. Balbay 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Hill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Chapman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Welsh 38 9-21 2-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 20 3 -
C. Fortson 30 3-10 0-2 7-10 10 5 1 0 6 13 13 -
M. Washington 28 8-13 1-1 5-9 9 1 0 2 1 22 20 -
M. Sanchez 27 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
R. Clarke 27 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 -2 -
M. Monk 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 1 1 0 6 -
M. Britt 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 4 0 1 0 5 -
J. Henry 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Moore 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter