Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | +25.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +29 (88-59). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Tomko * | 27 | 1-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Darion Jeralds * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jerel Stephenson * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Dominique Lacy * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Johnny Wolf * | 14 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Darryl Felder | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kevon Moore | 20 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Mercer | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Sheets | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Montez Downey | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marlo Davis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Rodriguez * | 32 | 8-10 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 27 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Bradford Burgess * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kirill Pishchalnikov * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Rozzell | 28 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ed Nixon | 26 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Lance Kearse | 12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Terrance Saintil | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Gerard Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter