Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Higgins | 39 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| A. Dufault | 39 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Thorne II | 38 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| N. Tomlinson | 34 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Crawford | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Jackson-Wilson | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| L. Knutson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Kelley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McCoy | 38 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Fall | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| M. Faye | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Williams | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| F. Otis | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Walker | 14 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| P. Dia | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Nyakundi | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Harp | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Malone | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter