Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Oliver | 33 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| M. Payne | 32 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Harden | 31 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| D. Calegari | 26 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Carter | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Silva | 18 | 7-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Malik | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Townsend | 35 | 11-15 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 33 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| W. Galick | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| R. Haynes | 31 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Daniels | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| T. Taylor | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Mels | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Wallace | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| X. Crawford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Cordell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter