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2009-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% -
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% -
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.4 (16.6 off)
Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +28 (95-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Mendez-Valdez 39 4-14 1-9 0-0 4 5 1 0 3 9 2 -
S. Pettigrew 33 6-11 1-3 0-1 4 0 1 0 1 13 6 -
J. Evans 32 8-12 0-0 3-5 10 0 2 2 2 19 19 -
D. Cvoro 26 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
A.J. Slaughter 25 7-17 4-7 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 18 4 -
S. Kerusch 15 3-6 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
D.J. Magley 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Sally 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 0 2 -
J. Aguilar 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
U. Komadinic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Walker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Maresca 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bost 33 7-12 2-4 2-3 4 0 1 0 3 18 8 -
B. Stewart 32 6-9 4-6 2-2 3 3 2 0 0 18 17 -
R. Johnson 30 9-10 6-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 26 18 -
P. Turner 23 3-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 6 5 -
J. Varnado 23 2-6 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 1 1 6 12 -
R. Osby 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
R. Benock 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 5 2 -
E. Bailey 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 6 7 -
T. Beckham 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 0 3 -
B. Johnson 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
B. Bolen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Bryant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Luczak 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Gay 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter