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2009-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Temple Owls Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.5 โœ“ (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.6% 97.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.8% 79.2% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (87-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Temple Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Cotton 0 6-10 0-1 6-10 6 0 2 0 1 18 15 -
S. Landry 0 1-2 0-0 2-3 8 1 1 1 6 4 7 -
L. Kimmel 0 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
L. Eaddy 0 1-8 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 -2 -
K. McCarthy 0 3-10 1-2 2-4 3 0 1 0 5 9 -2 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jackson 0 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
J. Thomas 0 4-11 1-2 2-5 6 5 1 0 1 11 11 -
C. Black 0 6-9 0-0 3-5 6 3 0 1 2 15 14 -
C. Gay 0 3-8 1-1 1-2 7 1 4 1 5 8 8 -
A. Waner 0 2-9 1-4 2-2 1 6 6 0 1 7 10 -

* = starter