Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -1.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 38 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | - |
| W. McKines | 34 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J. Gibson | 32 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| H. Rahman | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| H. Laroche | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Joyner | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Gillenwater | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| G. Castillo | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Gabriel | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Lumpkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Oliver | 36 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Webster | 35 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| T. Pierce | 34 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Graham | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| C. Oakes | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Owens | 12 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Wright | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Peterson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter