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2009-01-04

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 58.6% 41.4% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 42.3% 57.7% +1.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 77.2% 22.8% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Log Adjusted 94.1% 5.9% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -9 (74-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 38 6-9 1-2 9-9 2 9 0 0 1 22 23 -
J. Holiday 29 2-6 1-2 3-6 1 3 1 0 4 8 3 -
A. Aboya 28 5-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 12 6 -
J. Shipp 27 5-6 5-6 2-2 1 2 2 1 2 17 15 -
J. Keefe 23 1-2 1-1 1-1 5 0 2 1 1 4 9 -
M. Roll 20 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 3 1 0 3 4 -
N. Dragovic 19 4-8 3-6 1-1 5 1 1 0 3 12 8 -
J. Anderson 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Gordon 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 6 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 39 8-18 4-11 4-4 4 2 1 0 3 24 10 -
J. Catron 33 5-8 0-0 3-3 4 7 0 0 6 13 10 -
L. Longmire 26 3-8 1-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
G. Sim 23 1-3 0-1 2-4 3 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
J. Crittle 22 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 1 1 3 4 -
C. Odia 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 5 7 -
M. Humphrey 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 7 -
K. Brown 15 1-3 1-1 4-4 4 1 1 0 0 7 10 -
M. Dunigan 6 1-3 0-0 1-4 2 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
D. Wiley 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter