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2009-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 39.6% 60.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (28.3 off)
Pythagorean 26.8% 73.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +34 (84-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vaughn 37 0-8 0-6 0-0 4 10 1 0 2 0 5 -
R. Bishop 33 5-11 0-2 1-1 7 2 0 0 0 11 9 -
L. Davis 25 4-9 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 11 1 -
M. Williams 25 1-4 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 5 2 -
Y. Gates 23 5-10 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 10 4 -
S. Toyloy 20 1-2 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 0 3 5 4 -
D. Dixon 15 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
A. Mitchell 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
A. McClain 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Miller 3 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Wilks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McNeal 31 9-10 7-7 1-2 5 6 0 0 2 26 25 -
D. James 30 3-8 1-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 0 9 8 -
W. Matthews 28 4-10 2-3 7-8 6 4 0 0 2 17 15 -
J. Butler III 23 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
L. Hayward 20 5-9 4-6 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 16 9 -
D. Burke 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 -
P. Hazel 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 6 -
C. Otule 13 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 0 4 5 -
M. Acker 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 3 -1 -
D. Cubillan 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Fulce 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
R. Frozena 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter