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2009-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% -
Bradley-Terry 16.4% 83.6% -
Margin 7.1% 92.9% +14.1 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -7 (78-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Sanders 37 9-15 4-7 0-2 6 0 7 2 3 22 19 -
T. Rice 36 7-13 2-6 9-10 5 8 1 0 6 25 20 -
R. Jackson 26 8-14 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 17 5 -
C. Raji 25 3-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 0 6 8 -
J. Southern 25 1-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 2 1 0 4 6 -
J. Trapani 24 3-9 1-4 1-2 7 2 1 1 0 8 10 -
C. Dunn 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
T. Roche 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
B. Paris 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough 36 6-15 0-0 9-12 9 1 0 0 2 21 14 -
T. Lawson 31 3-13 1-3 3-4 3 4 3 0 4 10 3 -
W. Ellington 31 7-16 2-7 0-0 5 2 1 1 2 16 7 -
D. Thompson 20 2-6 0-0 1-6 5 1 0 1 2 5 4 -
D. Green 19 3-10 2-6 1-2 7 3 1 1 0 9 11 -
E. Davis 16 3-4 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 2 0 6 10 -
M. Ginyard 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
W. Graves 14 3-6 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 7 7 -
B. Frasor 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Drew II 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 1 -1 -

* = starter