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2009-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% -
Bradley-Terry 16.1% 83.9% -
Margin 8.4% 91.6% +13.1 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% -
Log Adjusted 6.0% 94.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +25 (69-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Delaney 33 6-12 0-3 0-0 4 0 3 0 3 12 4 -
A.D. Vassallo 29 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 7 2 -
J. Allen 27 1-4 0-0 7-9 5 0 1 1 6 9 6 -
D. Hudson 25 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -2 -
H. Thorns 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Diakite 20 4-6 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 3 0 8 10 -
J. Thompson 19 3-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 6 0 -
T. Bell 11 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
L. Witcher 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 4 -
V. Davila 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Vinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 37 7-11 2-2 3-3 8 7 2 1 6 19 20 -
J. Scheyer 34 2-7 1-3 6-6 4 1 0 0 0 11 9 -
G. Henderson 32 5-10 1-2 4-5 8 4 1 1 3 15 16 -
N. Smith 28 4-12 1-4 4-4 2 3 2 0 2 13 6 -
D. McClure 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
G. Paulus 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
B. Zoubek 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 3 1 2 6 6 -
L. Thomas 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Plumlee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Pocius 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter