Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey | 36 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| C. Frazier | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Brock | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Meacham | 26 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Davis | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Legion | 22 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Keller | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Jordan | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 36 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Sims | 36 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 32 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Z. Novak | 27 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Grady | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Merritt | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Douglass | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter