Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Meeks | 40 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 9-9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 8 | - |
| P. Patterson | 40 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 26 | - |
| M. Porter | 33 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| R. Harris | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Miller | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Liggins | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Harrellson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Galloway | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Stewart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 36 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| E. Clark | 36 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 29 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| E. Sosa | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| G. Goode | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. McGee | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Samuels | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Knowles | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Jennings | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Kuric | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Scott | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter