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2009-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.4% 43.6% -
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 68.1% 31.9% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Log Adjusted 74.1% 25.9% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -7 (60-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 37 3-9 2-3 6-6 7 2 0 0 0 14 14 -
J. Cox 37 3-8 2-6 2-4 11 1 1 2 2 10 15 -
C. Stanley 34 5-9 1-2 6-8 2 2 0 0 2 17 10 -
B. Heemskerk 26 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 2 1 4 8 -
A. Templeton 24 2-9 1-5 3-4 9 0 2 0 2 8 8 -
J. Parker 23 3-5 2-3 4-5 0 2 0 0 1 12 8 -
A. White 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Baryenbruch 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Eaddy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Hall 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard 38 8-14 3-6 3-4 6 5 0 1 1 22 19 -
B. Mullins 36 3-9 3-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 9 4 -
C. Fay 32 3-5 1-3 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 10 11 -
T. Boyle 23 3-9 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 2 2 8 6 -
R. Hare 19 3-8 1-3 1-3 2 2 0 0 1 8 3 -
N. Evans 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 3 0 -1 -
W. Clemmons 14 0-2 0-1 0-1 4 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
J. Bocot 13 0-4 0-2 3-3 2 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Booker 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter