Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -7.0 | ✗ (50.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +43 (86-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.