Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Danridge | 37 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Faris | 31 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| R. Martinez | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| N. Garth | 26 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Toppert | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| P. McDonald | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Gary | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Wills | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| W. Brown | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Willis | 32 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 7-11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| J. Darger | 31 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Santee | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| W. Adams | 18 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Wallace | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Massamba | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Hoffman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter