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2009-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 49.0% 51.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 23.1% 76.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% -
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Jones III 32 2-7 0-1 2-3 4 2 1 1 2 6 5 -
T. Pritchard 30 3-7 0-0 5-7 3 2 0 0 1 11 8 -
M. Roth 30 1-4 1-4 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
D. Dumes 30 2-8 2-4 6-6 7 1 0 0 3 12 9 -
N. Williams 26 7-11 0-1 0-1 5 2 0 0 1 14 9 -
M. Story 19 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
K. Taber 17 2-2 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
D. Moore 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Lewis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Finkelmeier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Peterson 39 5-12 1-3 5-6 1 5 0 0 4 16 6 -
J. Davis 37 3-7 1-3 2-2 8 2 1 0 0 9 13 -
C. Tate 35 6-6 0-0 10-11 11 0 1 0 1 22 27 -
M. Gatens 26 2-4 1-1 1-1 3 2 0 1 1 6 7 -
J. Kelly 24 4-11 2-5 0-1 3 1 2 1 2 10 4 -
D. Bawinkel 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Brommer 13 0-0 0-0 2-6 0 1 1 2 1 2 5 -
J. Cole 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Fuller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter