Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +10 (61-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.