Model Predictions
| Model | Creighton Bluejays | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.0% | 21.0% | -7.3 | ✗ (29.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +22 (86-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carter | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Woodfox | 27 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| K. Korver | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P. Stinnett | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Witter | 17 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Walker II | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Harriman | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Young | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Millard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 36 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| L. Phillips | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| E. Holloway | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 26 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Sampay | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Odzic | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Rubin | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Holtz | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Shipley | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter