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2009-01-03

Model Predictions

Model UNC Wilmington Seahawks George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 (32.5 off)

Actual: George Mason Patriots +41 (101-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wolf 35 2-8 1-5 2-4 4 2 0 0 1 7 4 -
C. Tomko 31 4-12 3-7 4-4 5 4 2 0 3 15 11 -
D. Lacy 31 4-12 0-2 4-4 1 2 0 0 3 12 0 -
J. Stephenson 28 5-11 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 10 5 -
K. Moore 21 2-5 2-4 0-2 0 1 2 0 2 6 2 -
D. Jeralds 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Mercer 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
D. Felder 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 2 1 -
J. Sheets 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Davis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Cornelius 29 4-10 2-5 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 10 4 -
J. Vaughan 26 6-10 5-6 3-4 6 5 1 1 0 20 23 -
C. Long 22 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 5 0 1 1 6 10 -
D. Monroe 21 4-4 0-0 1-2 8 4 2 0 1 9 18 -
D. Smith 20 4-8 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 10 7 -
L. Birdsong 16 3-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
M. Morrison 15 6-7 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 1 2 13 10 -
R. Pearson 14 6-7 0-0 1-2 7 3 1 0 2 13 15 -
I. Tate 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
C. Fleming 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
J. Nolan 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
B. Henderson 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter